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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 30 April 2016

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 11
  2. 20
  3. 22
  4. 23
  5. 31
  6. 36
  7. 3

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 265 of 1,356 under them

← 2016-04-27All recent draws2016-05-04 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed11 20 22 23 31 36 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 30 April 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

58oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 62% of every possible ticket.

  • sum77th
  • odd50th
  • low21th
  • widest gap19th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread23th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 40 of each

1132times
2040times
2234times
2335times
31

Prize breakdown · 2016-04-30

  • Lines in play≈ 7.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.6Mto 37k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 205lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 2.0

Where the money went

  • Match 639%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 420%NZ$519.2K
  • Match 3 + Bonus20%NZ$503.7K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$558.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 2.0 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

43times
3641times

Every number was expected about that many times after 264 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (11, 20, 22, 31) with the draw of 20 February 2016 — its closest relative in 264 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 45% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 April 2016): 20 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

143

The numbers add up to 143 — the 77th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 22–23. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

11 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus10≈ 12 by chanceNZ$24,410
  • Match 5354≈ 394 by chanceNZ$717
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,021≈ 984 by chanceNZ$59.00
  • Match 414,833≈ 16k by chanceNZ$35.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus20,987≈ 21k by chanceNZ$24.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 14,833 winners, 6% fewer than the 16k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus10NZ$24,410
    Match 5354NZ$717
    Match 4 + Bonus1,021NZ$59.00
    Match 414,833NZ$35.00
    Match 3 + Bonus20,987NZ$24.00
    Match 30—
    Totals0—