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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 23 April 2016

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 19
  2. 21
  3. 24
  4. 26
  5. 30
  6. 37
  7. 2

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 263 of 1,356 under them

← 2016-04-20All recent draws2016-04-27 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed19 21 24 26 30 37 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 April 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

33oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 33 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 11% of every possible ticket.

  • sum90th
  • odd50th
  • low5th
  • widest gap7th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread5th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 39 of each

1951times
2142times
2440times
2642times
30

Prize breakdown · 2016-04-23

  • Lines in play≈ 7.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.6Mto 35k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 202lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 1.8

Where the money went

  • Match 639%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 420%NZ$511.4K
  • Match 3 + Bonus20%NZ$501.1K
  • 3 other tiers21%NZ$547.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 1.8 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

35times
3739times

Every number was expected about that many times after 262 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (19, 21, 26, 30) with the draw of 14 October 2015 — its closest relative in 262 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 45% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 April 2016): 21, 26 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

157

The numbers add up to 157 — the 89th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

37 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 15% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus13≈ 11 by chanceNZ$18,413
  • Match 5340≈ 361 by chanceNZ$732
  • Match 4 + Bonus895≈ 903 by chanceNZ$66.00
  • Match 414,206≈ 14k by chanceNZ$36.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus19,273≈ 19k by chanceNZ$26.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 14,206 winners, 2% fewer than the 14k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus13NZ$18,413
    Match 5340NZ$732
    Match 4 + Bonus895NZ$66.00
    Match 414,206NZ$36.00
    Match 3 + Bonus19,273NZ$26.00
    Match 30—
    Totals0—