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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 16 April 2016

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 4
  3. 19
  4. 20
  5. 28
  6. 35
  7. 25

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 261 of 1,356 under them

← 2016-04-13All recent draws2016-04-20 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 4 19 20 28 35 + 2529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 April 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

58oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 63% of every possible ticket.

  • sum30th
  • odd50th
  • low79th
  • widest gap74th
  • neighbours91th
  • spread62th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 39 of each

336times
435times
1950times
2038times
28

Prize breakdown · 2016-04-16

  • Lines in play≈ 12Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$3.5Mto 58k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 198lines took a prize
  • Match 65 winnerschance said 3.0

Where the money went

  • Match 629%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 424%NZ$827.0K
  • Match 3 + Bonus23%NZ$791.5K
  • 3 other tiers25%NZ$884.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 65≈ 3.0 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

36times
3544times

Every number was expected about that many times after 260 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 19, 20, 28) with the draw of 9 February 2013 — its closest relative in 260 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 44% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 April 2016): 4 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

109

The numbers add up to 109 — the 30th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 3–4, 19–20. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

3 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$200,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus11≈ 18 by chanceNZ$35,173
  • Match 5590≈ 594 by chanceNZ$682
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,465≈ 1.5k by chanceNZ$65.00
  • Match 424,323≈ 24k by chanceNZ$34.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus31,658≈ 32k by chanceNZ$25.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈12M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 24,323 winners, 2% more than the 24k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 65NZ$200,000
    Match 5 + Bonus11NZ$35,173
    Match 5590NZ$682
    Match 4 + Bonus1,465NZ$65.00
    Match 424,323NZ$34.00
    Match 3 + Bonus31,658NZ$25.00
    Match 30—
    Totals0—