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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 16 March 2016

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 9
  3. 18
  4. 23
  5. 37
  6. 39
  7. 11

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 252 of 1,356 under them

← 2016-03-12All recent draws2016-03-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 9 18 23 37 39 + 1129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 March 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

73oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 73 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 93% of every possible ticket.

  • sum66th
  • odd79th
  • low50th
  • widest gap66th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread56th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 38 of each

839times
940times
1849times
2333times
37

Prize breakdown · 2016-03-16

  • Lines in play≈ 4.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$915.2Kto 22k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 203lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 1.2

Where the money went

  • Match 516%NZ$147.9K
  • Match 433%NZ$301.3K
  • Match 3 + Bonus32%NZ$288.7K
  • 2 other tiers19%NZ$177.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 1.2 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

37times
3941times

Every number was expected about that many times after 251 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (9, 18, 39) with the draw of 25 July 2015 — its closest relative in 251 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 March 2016): 9 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

134

The numbers add up to 134 — the 65th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 8–9. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

23 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 15% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus5≈ 7.1 by chanceNZ$28,468
  • Match 5229≈ 235 by chanceNZ$646
  • Match 4 + Bonus564≈ 588 by chanceNZ$62.00
  • Match 49,131≈ 9.4k by chanceNZ$33.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus12,551≈ 13k by chanceNZ$23.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 564 winners, 4% fewer than the 588 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus5NZ$28,468
    Match 5229NZ$646
    Match 4 + Bonus564NZ$62.00
    Match 49,131NZ$33.00
    Match 3 + Bonus12,551NZ$23.00
    Match 30—
    Totals0—