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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 27 February 2016

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 14
  2. 15
  3. 18
  4. 22
  5. 30
  6. 33
  7. 19

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 247 of 1,356 under them

← 2016-02-24All recent draws2016-03-02 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed14 15 18 22 30 33 + 1929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 27 February 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

54oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 53% of every possible ticket.

  • sum63th
  • odd21th
  • low50th
  • widest gap12th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread6th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 37 of each

1441times
1545times
1847times
2229times
30

Prize breakdown · 2016-02-27

  • Lines in play≈ 7.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.6Mto 36k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 202lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 1.9

Where the money went

  • Match 639%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 420%NZ$506.9K
  • Match 3 + Bonus20%NZ$504.0K
  • 3 other tiers21%NZ$549.9K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 1.9 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

33times
3342times

Every number was expected about that many times after 246 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (14, 15, 18) with the draw of 3 February 2016 — its closest relative in 246 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (24 February 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

132

The numbers add up to 132 — the 62th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 14–15. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

14 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 15% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus15≈ 11 by chanceNZ$16,029
  • Match 5351≈ 378 by chanceNZ$712
  • Match 4 + Bonus903≈ 945 by chanceNZ$66.00
  • Match 414,909≈ 15k by chanceNZ$34.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus20,159≈ 20k by chanceNZ$25.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 903 winners, 4% fewer than the 945 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus15NZ$16,029
    Match 5351NZ$712
    Match 4 + Bonus903NZ$66.00
    Match 414,909NZ$34.00
    Match 3 + Bonus20,159NZ$25.00
    Match 30—
    Totals0—