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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 17 February 2016

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 10
  3. 20
  4. 24
  5. 30
  6. 33
  7. 25

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 244 of 1,355 under them

← 2016-02-13All recent draws2016-02-20 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 10 20 24 30 33 + 2529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 February 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

72oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 72 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 91% of every possible ticket.

  • sum46th
  • odd21th
  • low50th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread50th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 36 of each

335times
1031times
2035times
2437times
30

Prize breakdown · 2016-02-17

  • Lines in play≈ 4.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$766.3Kto 20k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 204lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 1.0

Where the money went

  • Match 516%NZ$122.6K
  • Match 433%NZ$254.8K
  • Match 3 + Bonus32%NZ$242.0K
  • 2 other tiers19%NZ$146.9K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 1.0 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

32times
3340times

Every number was expected about that many times after 243 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (10, 20, 24) with the draw of 11 October 2014 — its closest relative in 243 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 February 2016): 3 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

120

The numbers add up to 120 — the 45th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

20 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 10% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus4≈ 6.2 by chanceNZ$29,474
  • Match 5203≈ 206 by chanceNZ$604
  • Match 4 + Bonus461≈ 516 by chanceNZ$63.00
  • Match 47,962≈ 8.2k by chanceNZ$32.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus10,999≈ 11k by chanceNZ$22.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 461 winners, 11% fewer than the 516 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus4NZ$29,474
    Match 5203NZ$604
    Match 4 + Bonus461NZ$63.00
    Match 47,962NZ$32.00
    Match 3 + Bonus10,999NZ$22.00
    Match 30—
    Totals0—