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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 9 January 2016

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 8
  3. 21
  4. 30
  5. 31
  6. 37
  7. 24

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 233 of 1,355 under them

← 2016-01-06All recent draws2016-01-13 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 8 21 30 31 37 + 2429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 9 January 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

62oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 62 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 72% of every possible ticket.

  • sum60th
  • odd79th
  • low21th
  • widest gap58th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread75th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 35 of each

332times
835times
2136times
3030times
31

Prize breakdown · 2016-01-09

  • Lines in play≈ 6.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.5Mto 34k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 199lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 1.8

Where the money went

  • Match 639%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 420%NZ$505.3K
  • Match 3 + Bonus19%NZ$489.1K
  • 3 other tiers21%NZ$537.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 1.8 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

39times
3734times

Every number was expected about that many times after 232 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (21, 30, 31, 37) with the draw of 12 July 2014 — its closest relative in 232 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 41% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (6 January 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

130

The numbers add up to 130 — the 59th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 30–31. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

37 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 10% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus5≈ 11 by chanceNZ$47,016
  • Match 5310≈ 353 by chanceNZ$788
  • Match 4 + Bonus833≈ 882 by chanceNZ$70.00
  • Match 414,437≈ 14k by chanceNZ$35.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus18,811≈ 19k by chanceNZ$26.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 833 winners, 6% fewer than the 882 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus5NZ$47,016
    Match 5310NZ$788
    Match 4 + Bonus833NZ$70.00
    Match 414,437NZ$35.00
    Match 3 + Bonus18,811NZ$26.00
    Match 30—
    Totals0—