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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 23 December 2015

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 2
  3. 7
  4. 13
  5. 23
  6. 28
  7. 10

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 228 of 1,356 under them

← 2015-12-19All recent draws2015-12-26 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 2 7 13 23 28 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 December 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

47oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 37% of every possible ticket.

  • sum3th
  • odd79th
  • low79th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 34 of each

137times
235times
730times
1340times
23

Prize breakdown · 2015-12-23

  • Lines in play≈ 5.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$897.4Kto 26k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 203lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 1.4

Where the money went

  • Match 516%NZ$143.1K
  • Match 433%NZ$293.5K
  • Match 3 + Bonus32%NZ$289.5K
  • 2 other tiers19%NZ$171.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 1.4 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

32times
2827times

Every number was expected about that many times after 227 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 2, 23, 28) with the draw of 29 November 2014 — its closest relative in 227 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 40% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 December 2015): 13 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

74

The numbers add up to 74 — the 3th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 1–2. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

28 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus6≈ 8.2 by chanceNZ$22,923
  • Match 5264≈ 271 by chanceNZ$542
  • Match 4 + Bonus734≈ 679 by chanceNZ$46.00
  • Match 410,482≈ 11k by chanceNZ$28.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus14,477≈ 14k by chanceNZ$20.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 734 winners, 8% more than the 679 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus6NZ$22,923
    Match 5264NZ$542
    Match 4 + Bonus734NZ$46.00
    Match 410,482NZ$28.00
    Match 3 + Bonus14,477NZ$20.00
    Match 30—
    Totals0—