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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 5 December 2015

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 9
  3. 12
  4. 15
  5. 23
  6. 25
  7. 34

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 223 of 1,356 under them

← 2015-12-02All recent draws2015-12-09 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 9 12 15 23 25 + 3429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 December 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

33oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 33 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 12% of every possible ticket.

  • sum8th
  • odd79th
  • low79th
  • widest gap12th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread16th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 33 of each

234times
935times
1232times
1542times
23

Prize breakdown · 2015-12-05

  • Lines in play≈ 7.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.6Mto 40k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 186lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 1.9

Where the money went

  • Match 638%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 421%NZ$538.1K
  • Match 3 + Bonus19%NZ$508.1K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$570.9K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 1.9 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

29times
2522times

Every number was expected about that many times after 222 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 9, 12, 23) with the draw of 5 July 2014 — its closest relative in 222 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 39% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 December 2015): 15 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

86

The numbers add up to 86 — the 8th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

2 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus9≈ 12 by chanceNZ$27,716
  • Match 5431≈ 381 by chanceNZ$602
  • Match 4 + Bonus939≈ 953 by chanceNZ$66.00
  • Match 417,938≈ 15k by chanceNZ$30.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus20,323≈ 20k by chanceNZ$25.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 17,938 winners, 18% more than the 15k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus9NZ$27,716
    Match 5431NZ$602
    Match 4 + Bonus939NZ$66.00
    Match 417,938NZ$30.00
    Match 3 + Bonus20,323NZ$25.00
    Match 30—
    Totals0—