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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 25 July 2015

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 9
  2. 15
  3. 18
  4. 22
  5. 36
  6. 39
  7. 34

JackpotNZ$2,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 195 of 1,357 under them

← 2015-07-18All recent draws2015-08-01 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 15 18 22 36 39 + 3429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 July 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

77oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 77 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 96% of every possible ticket.

  • sum72th
  • odd50th
  • low50th
  • widest gap66th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread50th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 29 of each

931times
1535times
1836times
2220times
36

Prize breakdown · 2015-07-25

  • Lines in play≈ 7.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$3.8Mto 41k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 191lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 2.0

Where the money went

  • Match 653%NZ$2M
  • Match 416%NZ$586.2K
  • Match 3 + Bonus15%NZ$554.5K
  • 3 other tiers17%NZ$624.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 2.0 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

32times
3933times

Every number was expected about that many times after 194 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (15, 18, 36) with the draw of 20 June 2015 — its closest relative in 194 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (18 July 2015): 18 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

139

The numbers add up to 139 — the 72th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

39 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 18% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus12≈ 12 by chanceNZ$22,731
  • Match 5417≈ 400 by chanceNZ$680
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,012≈ 1,000 by chanceNZ$67.00
  • Match 417,764≈ 16k by chanceNZ$33.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus21,325≈ 21k by chanceNZ$26.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 17,764 winners, 11% more than the 16k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus12NZ$22,731
    Match 5417NZ$680
    Match 4 + Bonus1,012NZ$67.00
    Match 417,764NZ$33.00
    Match 3 + Bonus21,325NZ$26.00