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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 23 May 2015

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 3
  3. 9
  4. 34
  5. 36
  6. 37
  7. 40

JackpotNZ$2,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 186 of 1,357 under them

← 2015-05-16All recent draws2015-05-30 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 3 9 34 36 37 + 4029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 May 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

56oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 57% of every possible ticket.

  • sum46th
  • odd79th
  • low50th
  • widest gap99th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread87th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 28 of each

128times
326times
928times
3422times
36

Prize breakdown · 2015-05-23

  • Lines in play≈ 8.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$1.8Mto 42k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 211lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 2.3

Where the money went

  • Match 516%NZ$294K
  • Match 433%NZ$599.5K
  • Match 3 + Bonus32%NZ$584.6K
  • 2 other tiers19%NZ$353.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 2.3 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

29times
3727times

Every number was expected about that many times after 185 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (3, 34, 37) with the draw of 22 November 2014 — its closest relative in 185 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 May 2015): 1, 3 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

120

The numbers add up to 120 — the 45th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 36–37. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

34 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 19% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$2,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus12≈ 14 by chanceNZ$23,572
  • Match 5375≈ 457 by chanceNZ$784
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,065≈ 1.1k by chanceNZ$66.00
  • Match 416,202≈ 18k by chanceNZ$37.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus24,357≈ 24k by chanceNZ$24.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 16,202 winners, 11% fewer than the 18k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$2,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus12NZ$23,572
    Match 5375NZ$784
    Match 4 + Bonus1,065NZ$66.00
    Match 416,202NZ$37.00
    Match 3 + Bonus24,357NZ$24.00