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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 14 February 2015

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 5
  3. 16
  4. 20
  5. 30
  6. 34
  7. 21

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 172 of 1,357 under them

← 2015-02-07All recent draws2015-02-21 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 5 16 20 30 34 + 2129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 February 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

53oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 53 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 50% of every possible ticket.

  • sum26th
  • odd21th
  • low79th
  • widest gap38th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread69th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 26 of each

124times
519times
1624times
2025times
30

Prize breakdown · 2015-02-14

  • Lines in play≈ 7.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.7Mto 39k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 199lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 2.0

Where the money went

  • Match 637%NZ$1M
  • Match 421%NZ$555.1K
  • Match 3 + Bonus20%NZ$536.5K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$593.9K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 2.0 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

23times
3420times

Every number was expected about that many times after 171 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 5, 16, 34) with the draw of 14 January 2012 — its closest relative in 171 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 32% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 February 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

106

The numbers add up to 106 — the 26th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

34 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus16≈ 12 by chanceNZ$16,232
  • Match 5383≈ 402 by chanceNZ$705
  • Match 4 + Bonus944≈ 1.0k by chanceNZ$68.00
  • Match 416,326≈ 16k by chanceNZ$34.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus21,459≈ 21k by chanceNZ$25.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 944 winners, 6% fewer than the 1.0k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus16NZ$16,232
    Match 5383NZ$705
    Match 4 + Bonus944NZ$68.00
    Match 416,326NZ$34.00
    Match 3 + Bonus21,459NZ$25.00