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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 20 September 2014

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 22
  3. 26
  4. 30
  5. 33
  6. 37
  7. 10

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 151 of 1,357 under them

← 2014-09-13All recent draws2014-09-27 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 22 26 30 33 37 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 20 September 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

41oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 41 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 24% of every possible ticket.

  • sum85th
  • odd50th
  • low5th
  • widest gap92th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread75th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 23 of each

321times
2216times
2622times
3021times
33

Prize breakdown · 2014-09-20

  • Lines in play≈ 8.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$1.7Mto 39k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 209lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 2.1

Where the money went

  • Match 516%NZ$268.7K
  • Match 433%NZ$557K
  • Match 3 + Bonus32%NZ$532.2K
  • 2 other tiers19%NZ$323.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 2.1 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

27times
3719times

Every number was expected about that many times after 150 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (3, 26, 30, 37) with the draw of 19 April 2014 — its closest relative in 150 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 29% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 September 2014): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

151

The numbers add up to 151 — the 85th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

22 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 17% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus12≈ 13 by chanceNZ$21,551
  • Match 5354≈ 416 by chanceNZ$759
  • Match 4 + Bonus977≈ 1.0k by chanceNZ$66.00
  • Match 415,053≈ 17k by chanceNZ$37.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus22,176≈ 22k by chanceNZ$24.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 15,053 winners, 9% fewer than the 17k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus12NZ$21,551
    Match 5354NZ$759
    Match 4 + Bonus977NZ$66.00
    Match 415,053NZ$37.00
    Match 3 + Bonus22,176NZ$24.00