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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 6 September 2014

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 4
  3. 14
  4. 17
  5. 35
  6. 38
  7. 21

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 149 of 1,357 under them

← 2014-08-30All recent draws2014-09-13 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 4 14 17 35 38 + 2129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 6 September 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

57oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 60% of every possible ticket.

  • sum33th
  • odd50th
  • low79th
  • widest gap89th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread82th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 22 of each

320times
424times
1421times
1721times
35

Prize breakdown · 2014-09-06

  • Lines in play≈ 9.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$3Mto 47k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 205lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 2.5

Where the money went

  • Match 633%NZ$1M
  • Match 422%NZ$657.5K
  • Match 3 + Bonus21%NZ$632.2K
  • 3 other tiers24%NZ$711K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 2.5 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

26times
3823times

Every number was expected about that many times after 148 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (3, 14, 17, 35) with the draw of 21 June 2014 — its closest relative in 148 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 28% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (30 August 2014): 17, 35 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

111

The numbers add up to 111 — the 32th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 3–4. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

3 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 16% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus12≈ 15 by chanceNZ$25,888
  • Match 5393≈ 494 by chanceNZ$822
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,171≈ 1.2k by chanceNZ$66.00
  • Match 418,786≈ 20k by chanceNZ$35.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus26,341≈ 26k by chanceNZ$24.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,171 winners, 5% fewer than the 1.2k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus12NZ$25,888
    Match 5393NZ$822
    Match 4 + Bonus1,171NZ$66.00
    Match 418,786NZ$35.00
    Match 3 + Bonus26,341NZ$24.00