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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 26 July 2014

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 13
  2. 14
  3. 27
  4. 31
  5. 38
  6. 40
  7. 6

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 143 of 1,357 under them

← 2014-07-19All recent draws2014-08-02 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed13 14 27 31 38 40 + 629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 26 July 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

63oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 63 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 75% of every possible ticket.

  • sum93th
  • odd50th
  • low21th
  • widest gap58th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 21 of each

1329times
1419times
2723times
3124times
38

Prize breakdown · 2014-07-26

  • Lines in play≈ 8.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.8Mto 41k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 203lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 2.2

Where the money went

  • Match 636%NZ$1M
  • Match 421%NZ$586K
  • Match 3 + Bonus20%NZ$555.6K
  • 3 other tiers23%NZ$627.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 2.2 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

22times
4021times

Every number was expected about that many times after 142 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (14, 27, 40) with the draw of 19 October 2013 — its closest relative in 142 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 July 2014): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

163

The numbers add up to 163 — the 93th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 13–14. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

13 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 27% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus15≈ 13 by chanceNZ$18,300
  • Match 5383≈ 434 by chanceNZ$745
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,059≈ 1.1k by chanceNZ$64.00
  • Match 416,742≈ 17k by chanceNZ$35.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus23,148≈ 23k by chanceNZ$24.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 16,742 winners, 4% fewer than the 17k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus15NZ$18,300
    Match 5383NZ$745
    Match 4 + Bonus1,059NZ$64.00
    Match 416,742NZ$35.00
    Match 3 + Bonus23,148NZ$24.00