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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 5 July 2014

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 9
  3. 10
  4. 12
  5. 18
  6. 23
  7. 7

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 140 of 1,357 under them

← 2014-06-28All recent draws2014-07-12 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 9 10 12 18 23 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 July 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

28oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 28 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 6% of every possible ticket.

  • sum3th
  • odd21th
  • low95th
  • widest gap7th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread10th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 21 of each

223times
921times
1018times
1220times
18

Prize breakdown · 2014-07-05

  • Lines in play≈ 11Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$1.8Mto 54k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 209lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 3.0

Where the money went

  • Match 516%NZ$279.3K
  • Match 433%NZ$581.6K
  • Match 3 + Bonus32%NZ$561.8K
  • 2 other tiers19%NZ$334.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 3.0 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

25times
2316times

Every number was expected about that many times after 139 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (9, 18, 23) with the draw of 27 April 2013 — its closest relative in 139 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (28 June 2014): 2 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

74

The numbers add up to 74 — the 3th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 9–10. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

12 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.8× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus21≈ 18 by chanceNZ$12,792
  • Match 5536≈ 585 by chanceNZ$521
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,648≈ 1.5k by chanceNZ$40.00
  • Match 420,773≈ 23k by chanceNZ$28.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus31,213≈ 31k by chanceNZ$18.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈11M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,648 winners, 13% more than the 1.5k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus21NZ$12,792
    Match 5536NZ$521
    Match 4 + Bonus1,648NZ$40.00
    Match 420,773NZ$28.00
    Match 3 + Bonus31,213NZ$18.00