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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 10 May 2014

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 4
  3. 5
  4. 9
  5. 24
  6. 35
  7. 13

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 132 of 1,357 under them

← 2014-05-03All recent draws2014-05-17 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 4 5 9 24 35 + 1329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 May 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

40oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 40 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 22% of every possible ticket.

  • sum5th
  • odd79th
  • low79th
  • widest gap74th
  • neighbours91th
  • spread62th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 20 of each

317times
419times
515times
920times
24

Prize breakdown · 2014-05-10

  • Lines in play≈ 12Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$3.3Mto 60k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 204lines took a prize
  • Match 63 winnerschance said 3.2

Where the money went

  • Match 630%NZ$1M
  • Match 423%NZ$745.4K
  • Match 3 + Bonus22%NZ$737.3K
  • 3 other tiers25%NZ$809.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 63≈ 3.2 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

21times
3521times

Every number was expected about that many times after 131 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 5, 24, 35) with the draw of 31 March 2012 — its closest relative in 131 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 26% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 May 2014): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

80

The numbers add up to 80 — the 5th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 3–4, 4–5. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

5 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$333,333
  • Match 5 + Bonus21≈ 19 by chanceNZ$16,837
  • Match 5612≈ 628 by chanceNZ$601
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,522≈ 1.6k by chanceNZ$58.00
  • Match 424,046≈ 25k by chanceNZ$31.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus33,514≈ 34k by chanceNZ$22.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈12M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 24,046 winners, 4% fewer than the 25k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 63NZ$333,333
    Match 5 + Bonus21NZ$16,837
    Match 5612NZ$601
    Match 4 + Bonus1,522NZ$58.00
    Match 424,046NZ$31.00
    Match 3 + Bonus33,514NZ$22.00