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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 15 February 2014

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 9
  3. 17
  4. 19
  5. 24
  6. 28
  7. 10

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 120 of 1,357 under them

← 2014-02-08All recent draws2014-02-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 9 17 19 24 28 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 February 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

51oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 51 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 45% of every possible ticket.

  • sum25th
  • odd50th
  • low79th
  • widest gap12th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread8th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 18 of each

820times
917times
1716times
1920times
24

Prize breakdown · 2014-02-15

  • Lines in play≈ 13Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$3.5Mto 66k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 201lines took a prize
  • Match 64 winnerschance said 3.5

Where the money went

  • Match 629%NZ$1M
  • Match 423%NZ$814.8K
  • Match 3 + Bonus23%NZ$802.1K
  • 3 other tiers25%NZ$884.9K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 64≈ 3.5 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

17times
2811times

Every number was expected about that many times after 119 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (9, 17, 19, 28) with the draw of 9 February 2013 — its closest relative in 119 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 23% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 February 2014): 17 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

105

The numbers add up to 105 — the 25th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 8–9. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

8 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$250,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus29≈ 21 by chanceNZ$13,344
  • Match 5697≈ 684 by chanceNZ$577
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,710≈ 1.7k by chanceNZ$56.00
  • Match 427,159≈ 27k by chanceNZ$30.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus36,461≈ 36k by chanceNZ$22.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈13M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 5 — 697 winners, 2% more than the 684 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 64NZ$250,000
    Match 5 + Bonus29NZ$13,344
    Match 5697NZ$577
    Match 4 + Bonus1,710NZ$56.00
    Match 427,159NZ$30.00
    Match 3 + Bonus36,461NZ$22.00