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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 21 December 2013

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 7
  3. 12
  4. 19
  5. 20
  6. 25
  7. 15

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 112 of 1,356 under them

← 2013-12-14All recent draws2013-12-28 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 7 12 19 20 25 + 1529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 December 2013 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

39oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 39 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 20% of every possible ticket.

  • sum9th
  • odd50th
  • low95th
  • widest gap7th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread10th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 17 of each

417times
719times
1215times
1919times
20

Prize breakdown · 2013-12-21

  • Lines in play≈ 10Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$3.0Mto 52k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 194lines took a prize
  • Match 63 winnerschance said 2.6

Where the money went

  • Match 634%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 422%NZ$649.5K
  • Match 3 + Bonus21%NZ$614.4K
  • 3 other tiers23%NZ$687.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 63≈ 2.6 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

12times
2511times

Every number was expected about that many times after 111 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (12, 20, 25) with the draw of 31 August 2013 — its closest relative in 111 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 December 2013): 20 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

87

The numbers add up to 87 — the 9th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 19–20. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

7 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$333,333
  • Match 5 + Bonus22≈ 16 by chanceNZ$13,667
  • Match 5533≈ 524 by chanceNZ$586
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,397≈ 1.3k by chanceNZ$53.00
  • Match 422,395≈ 21k by chanceNZ$29.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus27,928≈ 28k by chanceNZ$22.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈10M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 22,395 winners, 7% more than the 21k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 63NZ$333,333
    Match 5 + Bonus22NZ$13,667
    Match 5533NZ$586
    Match 4 + Bonus1,397NZ$53.00
    Match 422,395NZ$29.00
    Match 3 + Bonus27,928NZ$22.00