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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 16 November 2013

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 8
  3. 9
  4. 18
  5. 25
  6. 28
  7. 5

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 107 of 1,359 under them

← 2013-11-09All recent draws2013-11-23 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 8 9 18 25 28 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 November 2013 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

43oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 27% of every possible ticket.

  • sum12th
  • odd21th
  • low79th
  • widest gap19th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread19th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 16 of each

415times
819times
916times
1818times
25

Prize breakdown · 2013-11-16

  • Lines in play≈ 11Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.8Mto 54k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 201lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 2.8

Where the money went

  • Match 635%NZ$1M
  • Match 421%NZ$610.3K
  • Match 3 + Bonus21%NZ$592.9K
  • 3 other tiers23%NZ$646.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 2.8 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

9times
288times

Every number was expected about that many times after 106 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (8, 9, 18, 25) with the draw of 28 July 2012 — its closest relative in 106 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 21% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 November 2013): 9, 18, 28 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

92

The numbers add up to 92 — the 12th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 8–9. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

25 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus27≈ 17 by chanceNZ$10,466
  • Match 5530≈ 556 by chanceNZ$554
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,527≈ 1.4k by chanceNZ$46.00
  • Match 421,796≈ 22k by chanceNZ$28.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus29,645≈ 30k by chanceNZ$20.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈11M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,527 winners, 10% more than the 1.4k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus27NZ$10,466
    Match 5530NZ$554
    Match 4 + Bonus1,527NZ$46.00
    Match 421,796NZ$28.00
    Match 3 + Bonus29,645NZ$20.00