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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 2 November 2013

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 5
  3. 12
  4. 15
  5. 21
  6. 29
  7. 4

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 105 of 1,359 under them

← 2013-10-26All recent draws2013-11-09 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 5 12 15 21 29 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 November 2013 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

35oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 35 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 13% of every possible ticket.

  • sum7th
  • odd95th
  • low79th
  • widest gap12th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread38th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 16 of each

119times
513times
1214times
1519times
21

Prize breakdown · 2013-11-02

  • Lines in play≈ 8.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.7Mto 46k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 195lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 2.3

Where the money went

  • Match 637%NZ$1M
  • Match 421%NZ$565.5K
  • Match 3 + Bonus20%NZ$540.7K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$605.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 2.3 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

20times
2916times

Every number was expected about that many times after 104 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (1, 21, 29) with the draw of 28 September 2013 — its closest relative in 104 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (26 October 2013): 15 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

83

The numbers add up to 83 — the 6th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

12 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus10≈ 14 by chanceNZ$26,436
  • Match 5480≈ 461 by chanceNZ$573
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,216≈ 1.2k by chanceNZ$54.00
  • Match 419,499≈ 18k by chanceNZ$29.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus24,576≈ 25k by chanceNZ$22.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 19,499 winners, 6% more than the 18k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus10NZ$26,436
    Match 5480NZ$573
    Match 4 + Bonus1,216NZ$54.00
    Match 419,499NZ$29.00
    Match 3 + Bonus24,576NZ$22.00