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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 10 August 2013

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 21
  3. 23
  4. 27
  5. 30
  6. 38
  7. 36

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 93 of 1,357 under them

← 2013-08-03All recent draws2013-08-17 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 21 23 27 30 38 + 3629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 August 2013 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

40oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 40 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 22% of every possible ticket.

  • sum78th
  • odd79th
  • low5th
  • widest gap80th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread69th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 14 of each

511times
2117times
2312times
2715times
30

Prize breakdown · 2013-08-10

  • Lines in play≈ 8.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.9Mto 44k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 195lines took a prize
  • Match 64 winnerschance said 2.2

Where the money went

  • Match 634%NZ$1M
  • Match 422%NZ$641K
  • Match 3 + Bonus21%NZ$614.8K
  • 3 other tiers23%NZ$692.9K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 64≈ 2.2 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

11times
3815times

Every number was expected about that many times after 92 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (5, 21, 27, 30) with the draw of 7 April 2012 — its closest relative in 92 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 19% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 August 2013): 23 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

144

The numbers add up to 144 — the 78th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

27 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$250,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus10≈ 13 by chanceNZ$30,319
  • Match 5437≈ 443 by chanceNZ$721
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,037≈ 1.1k by chanceNZ$72.00
  • Match 418,853≈ 18k by chanceNZ$34.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus23,647≈ 24k by chanceNZ$26.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,037 winners, 6% fewer than the 1.1k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 64NZ$250,000
    Match 5 + Bonus10NZ$30,319
    Match 5437NZ$721
    Match 4 + Bonus1,037NZ$72.00
    Match 418,853NZ$34.00
    Match 3 + Bonus23,647NZ$26.00