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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 20 April 2013

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 15
  2. 29
  3. 31
  4. 34
  5. 39
  6. 40
  7. 16

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 77 of 1,357 under them

← 2013-04-13All recent draws2013-04-27 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed15 29 31 34 39 40 + 1629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 20 April 2013 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

40oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 40 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 22% of every possible ticket.

  • sum99th
  • odd79th
  • low5th
  • widest gap66th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread23th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 11 of each

1515times
299times
3114times
348times
39

Prize breakdown · 2013-04-20

  • Lines in play≈ 7.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.7Mto 36k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 200lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 1.9

Where the money went

  • Match 637%NZ$1M
  • Match 421%NZ$564.1K
  • Match 3 + Bonus20%NZ$535.3K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$601.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 1.9 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

13times
4012times

Every number was expected about that many times after 76 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (15, 29, 39) with the draw of 27 October 2012 — its closest relative in 76 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 April 2013): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

188

The numbers add up to 188 — the 99th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 39–40. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

34 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 28% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus13≈ 11 by chanceNZ$20,210
  • Match 5340≈ 372 by chanceNZ$803
  • Match 4 + Bonus961≈ 929 by chanceNZ$68.00
  • Match 414,846≈ 15k by chanceNZ$38.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus19,825≈ 20k by chanceNZ$27.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 961 winners, 3% more than the 929 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus13NZ$20,210
    Match 5340NZ$803
    Match 4 + Bonus961NZ$68.00
    Match 414,846NZ$38.00
    Match 3 + Bonus19,825NZ$27.00