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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 9 February 2013

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 9
  3. 17
  4. 19
  5. 20
  6. 28
  7. 21

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 67 of 1,356 under them

← 2013-02-02All recent draws2013-02-16 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 9 17 19 20 28 + 2129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 9 February 2013 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

47oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 34% of every possible ticket.

  • sum17th
  • odd50th
  • low95th
  • widest gap12th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread19th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 10 of each

49times
911times
178times
199times
20

Prize breakdown · 2013-02-09

  • Lines in play≈ 8.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$1.7Mto 45k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 195lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 2.3

Where the money went

  • Match 516%NZ$275.9K
  • Match 432%NZ$560.4K
  • Match 3 + Bonus32%NZ$557.0K
  • 2 other tiers19%NZ$331.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 2.3 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

6times
283times

Every number was expected about that many times after 66 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (9, 17, 19) with the draw of 22 September 2012 — its closest relative in 66 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 89% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 February 2013): 19 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

97

The numbers add up to 97 — the 16th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 19–20. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

20 had not appeared for 26 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus14≈ 14 by chanceNZ$18,947
  • Match 5438≈ 454 by chanceNZ$630
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,135≈ 1.1k by chanceNZ$58.00
  • Match 419,325≈ 18k by chanceNZ$29.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus24,216≈ 24k by chanceNZ$23.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 19,325 winners, 6% more than the 18k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus14NZ$18,947
    Match 5438NZ$630
    Match 4 + Bonus1,135NZ$58.00
    Match 419,325NZ$29.00
    Match 3 + Bonus24,216NZ$23.00