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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 5 January 2013

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 3
  3. 8
  4. 14
  5. 26
  6. 30
  7. 34

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 62 of 1,356 under them

← 2012-12-29All recent draws2013-01-12 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 3 8 14 26 30 + 3429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 January 2013 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

54oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 52% of every possible ticket.

  • sum6th
  • odd21th
  • low79th
  • widest gap48th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread43th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 9 of each

110times
38times
812times
148times
26

Prize breakdown · 2013-01-05

  • Lines in play≈ 8.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$3.1Mto 48k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 185lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 2.3

Where the money went

  • Match 633%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 422%NZ$673.6K
  • Match 3 + Bonus21%NZ$653.7K
  • 3 other tiers24%NZ$724.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 2.3 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

8times
307times

Every number was expected about that many times after 61 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (1, 3, 14) with the draw of 15 September 2012 — its closest relative in 61 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 87% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 December 2012): 3, 26 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

82

The numbers add up to 82 — the 6th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

30 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.8× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus17≈ 14 by chanceNZ$18,645
  • Match 5546≈ 454 by chanceNZ$603
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,115≈ 1.1k by chanceNZ$70.00
  • Match 421,728≈ 18k by chanceNZ$31.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus24,210≈ 24k by chanceNZ$27.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 21,728 winners, 20% more than the 18k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus17NZ$18,645
    Match 5546NZ$603
    Match 4 + Bonus1,115NZ$70.00
    Match 421,728NZ$31.00
    Match 3 + Bonus24,210NZ$27.00