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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 22 December 2012

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 6
  2. 8
  3. 13
  4. 14
  5. 19
  6. 31
  7. 2

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 60 of 1,356 under them

← 2012-12-15All recent draws2012-12-29 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed6 8 13 14 19 31 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 December 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

58oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 63% of every possible ticket.

  • sum12th
  • odd50th
  • low95th
  • widest gap48th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread23th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 9 of each

65times
811times
1316times
147times
19

Prize breakdown · 2012-12-22

  • Lines in play≈ 11Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$3.1Mto 54k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 203lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 2.9

Where the money went

  • Match 632%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 422%NZ$678.3K
  • Match 3 + Bonus22%NZ$663.4K
  • 3 other tiers24%NZ$737.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 2.9 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

6times
3112times

Every number was expected about that many times after 59 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (13, 19, 31) with the draw of 17 December 2011 — its closest relative in 59 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 87% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 December 2012): 6 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

91

The numbers add up to 91 — the 11th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 13–14. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

31 had not appeared for 6 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus16≈ 17 by chanceNZ$20,145
  • Match 5570≈ 565 by chanceNZ$588
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,400≈ 1.4k by chanceNZ$57.00
  • Match 421,881≈ 23k by chanceNZ$31.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus30,153≈ 30k by chanceNZ$22.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈11M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 21,881 winners, 3% fewer than the 23k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus16NZ$20,145
    Match 5570NZ$588
    Match 4 + Bonus1,400NZ$57.00
    Match 421,881NZ$31.00
    Match 3 + Bonus30,153NZ$22.00