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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 1 December 2012

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 10
  3. 14
  4. 15
  5. 21
  6. 39
  7. 20

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 57 of 1,356 under them

← 2012-11-24All recent draws2012-12-08 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 10 14 15 21 39 + 2029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 December 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

64oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 64 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 76% of every possible ticket.

  • sum28th
  • odd50th
  • low79th
  • widest gap89th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread56th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 8 of each

810times
108times
146times
1513times
21

Prize breakdown · 2012-12-01

  • Lines in play≈ 7.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.7Mto 39k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 197lines took a prize
  • Match 64 winnerschance said 2.0

Where the money went

  • Match 638%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 421%NZ$550.9K
  • Match 3 + Bonus20%NZ$522.8K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$590.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 64≈ 2.0 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

12times
399times

Every number was expected about that many times after 56 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (8, 10, 21, 39) with the draw of 26 May 2012 — its closest relative in 56 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 12% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (24 November 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

107

The numbers add up to 107 — the 27th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 14–15. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

10 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$250,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus12≈ 12 by chanceNZ$21,511
  • Match 5394≈ 392 by chanceNZ$681
  • Match 4 + Bonus975≈ 980 by chanceNZ$66.00
  • Match 416,204≈ 16k by chanceNZ$34.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus20,911≈ 21k by chanceNZ$25.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 16,204 winners, 3% more than the 16k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 64NZ$250,000
    Match 5 + Bonus12NZ$21,511
    Match 5394NZ$681
    Match 4 + Bonus975NZ$66.00
    Match 416,204NZ$34.00
    Match 3 + Bonus20,911NZ$25.00