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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 27 October 2012

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 14
  2. 15
  3. 29
  4. 33
  5. 36
  6. 39
  7. 38

JackpotNZ$2,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 52 of 1,355 under them

← 2012-10-20All recent draws2012-11-03 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed14 15 29 33 36 39 + 3829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 27 October 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

47oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 36% of every possible ticket.

  • sum95th
  • odd79th
  • low21th
  • widest gap66th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread23th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 8 of each

145times
1511times
293times
3311times
36

Prize breakdown · 2012-10-27

  • Lines in play≈ 8.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$3.9Mto 41k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 204lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 2.2

Where the money went

  • Match 651%NZ$2.0M
  • Match 416%NZ$632.7K
  • Match 3 + Bonus15%NZ$601.7K
  • 3 other tiers17%NZ$680.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 2.2 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

7times
398times

Every number was expected about that many times after 51 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 6 numbers (14, 36) with the draw of 15 September 2012 — its closest relative in 51 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 October 2012): 14 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

166

The numbers add up to 166 — the 95th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 14–15. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

33 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 30% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$2,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus17≈ 13 by chanceNZ$17,485
  • Match 5392≈ 434 by chanceNZ$788
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,000≈ 1.1k by chanceNZ$74.00
  • Match 416,649≈ 17k by chanceNZ$38.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus23,144≈ 23k by chanceNZ$26.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,000 winners, 8% fewer than the 1.1k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$2,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus17NZ$17,485
    Match 5392NZ$788
    Match 4 + Bonus1,000NZ$74.00
    Match 416,649NZ$38.00
    Match 3 + Bonus23,144NZ$26.00