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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 6 October 2012

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 9
  2. 15
  3. 19
  4. 22
  5. 23
  6. 30
  7. 8

JackpotNZ$2,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 49 of 1,355 under them

← 2012-09-29All recent draws2012-10-13 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 15 19 22 23 30 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 6 October 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

56oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 57% of every possible ticket.

  • sum43th
  • odd79th
  • low50th
  • widest gap7th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread10th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 7 of each

99times
1510times
194times
223times
23

Prize breakdown · 2012-10-06

  • Lines in play≈ 9.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$3.8Mto 46k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 202lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 2.4

Where the money went

  • Match 653%NZ$2.0M
  • Match 416%NZ$600.4K
  • Match 3 + Bonus15%NZ$567.5K
  • 3 other tiers17%NZ$637.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 2.4 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

6times
305times

Every number was expected about that many times after 48 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (9, 19, 22) with the draw of 24 March 2012 — its closest relative in 48 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 80% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 September 2012): 9, 30 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

118

The numbers add up to 118 — the 42th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 22–23. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

22 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.1× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$2,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus14≈ 15 by chanceNZ$19,927
  • Match 5432≈ 484 by chanceNZ$671
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,326≈ 1.2k by chanceNZ$52.00
  • Match 418,762≈ 19k by chanceNZ$32.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus25,796≈ 26k by chanceNZ$22.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,326 winners, 10% more than the 1.2k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$2,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus14NZ$19,927
    Match 5432NZ$671
    Match 4 + Bonus1,326NZ$52.00
    Match 418,762NZ$32.00
    Match 3 + Bonus25,796NZ$22.00