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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 7 July 2012

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 11
  3. 21
  4. 27
  5. 39
  6. 40
  7. 20

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 36 of 1,355 under them

← 2012-06-30All recent draws2012-07-14 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 11 21 27 39 40 + 2029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 7 July 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

61oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 71% of every possible ticket.

  • sum80th
  • odd79th
  • low21th
  • widest gap48th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread62th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 5 of each

87times
114times
218times
277times
39

Prize breakdown · 2012-07-07

  • Lines in play≈ 8.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$1.8Mto 42k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 194lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 2.1

Where the money went

  • Match 516%NZ$279.9K
  • Match 433%NZ$579.4K
  • Match 3 + Bonus32%NZ$559.5K
  • 2 other tiers19%NZ$335.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 2.1 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

5times
407times

Every number was expected about that many times after 35 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (8, 21, 39) with the draw of 26 May 2012 — its closest relative in 35 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 70% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (30 June 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

146

The numbers add up to 146 — the 80th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 39–40. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

40 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 16% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus14≈ 13 by chanceNZ$19,226
  • Match 5476≈ 420 by chanceNZ$588
  • Match 4 + Bonus951≈ 1.0k by chanceNZ$70.00
  • Match 418,105≈ 17k by chanceNZ$32.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus22,378≈ 22k by chanceNZ$25.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 951 winners, 9% fewer than the 1.0k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus14NZ$19,226
    Match 5476NZ$588
    Match 4 + Bonus951NZ$70.00
    Match 418,105NZ$32.00
    Match 3 + Bonus22,378NZ$25.00