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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 31 March 2012

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 5
  3. 21
  4. 24
  5. 35
  6. 40
  7. 37

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 22 of 1,355 under them

← 2012-03-24All recent draws2012-04-07 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 5 21 24 35 40 + 3729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 31 March 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

61oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 69% of every possible ticket.

  • sum59th
  • odd50th
  • low21th
  • widest gap80th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread87th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 3 of each

44times
54times
214times
241time
35

Prize breakdown · 2012-03-31

  • Lines in play≈ 15Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$4.4Mto 77k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 197lines took a prize
  • Match 63 winnerschance said 4.0

Where the money went

  • Match 623%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 425%NZ$1.1M
  • Match 3 + Bonus25%NZ$1.1M
  • 3 other tiers27%NZ$1.2M
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 63≈ 4.0 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

4times
406times

Every number was expected about that many times after 21 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (4, 5, 40) with the draw of 17 March 2012 — its closest relative in 21 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 51% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (24 March 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

129

The numbers add up to 129 — the 58th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 4–5. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 17% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$333,333
  • Match 5 + Bonus37≈ 24 by chanceNZ$14,335
  • Match 5819≈ 785 by chanceNZ$673
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,858≈ 2.0k by chanceNZ$71.00
  • Match 432,785≈ 31k by chanceNZ$34.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus41,868≈ 42k by chanceNZ$26.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈15M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,858 winners, 5% fewer than the 2.0k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 63NZ$333,333
    Match 5 + Bonus37NZ$14,335
    Match 5819NZ$673
    Match 4 + Bonus1,858NZ$71.00
    Match 432,785NZ$34.00
    Match 3 + Bonus41,868NZ$26.00