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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 17 December 2011

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 9
  2. 13
  3. 19
  4. 23
  5. 31
  6. 40
  7. 24

JackpotNZ$3,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 7 of 1,357 under them

← 2011-12-10All recent draws2011-12-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 13 19 23 31 40 + 2429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 December 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

57oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 61% of every possible ticket.

  • sum67th
  • odd95th
  • low50th
  • widest gap19th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread56th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 1 of each

90times
132times
190times
231time
31

Prize breakdown · 2011-12-17

  • Lines in play≈ 9.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$4.9Mto 51k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 187lines took a prize
  • Match 614 winnerschance said 2.5

Where the money went

  • Match 661%NZ$3.0M
  • Match 413%NZ$639.7K
  • Match 3 + Bonus12%NZ$605.0K
  • 3 other tiers14%NZ$684.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 614≈ 2.5 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

2times
400times

Every number was expected about that many times after 6 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 6 numbers (13, 31) with the draw of 19 November 2011 — its closest relative in 6 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 77% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 December 2011): 13 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

135

The numbers add up to 135 — the 66th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

31 had not appeared for 4 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 16% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$214,286
  • Match 5 + Bonus16≈ 15 by chanceNZ$18,692
  • Match 5620≈ 493 by chanceNZ$501
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,220≈ 1.2k by chanceNZ$61.00
  • Match 422,847≈ 20k by chanceNZ$28.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus26,303≈ 26k by chanceNZ$23.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 22,847 winners, 16% more than the 20k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 614NZ$214,286
    Match 5 + Bonus16NZ$18,692
    Match 5620NZ$501
    Match 4 + Bonus1,220NZ$61.00
    Match 422,847NZ$28.00
    Match 3 + Bonus26,303NZ$23.00