Saturday, 7 December 2024

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (21, 55, 75) with the draw of 29 November 2024 — its closest relative in 2,045 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (6 December 2024): 21, 60 carried over. Chance says 35% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 311 — the 72th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 273. No two numbers side by side. 30% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

30 had not appeared for 43 draws. A number waits about 15 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 98% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.