Friday, 17 January 2025

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (30, 48, 49) with the draw of 14 November 2024 — its closest relative in 114 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 34% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 January 2025): nothing carried over. Chance says 39% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 186 — the 91th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 140. Side-by-side numbers: 48–49. 32% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

48 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 19% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.