Monday, 13 January 2025

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (44, 45) with the draw of 12 January 2025 — its closest relative in 110 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 January 2025): 44, 45 carried over. Chance says 39% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 129 — the 37th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 140. Side-by-side numbers: 44–45. 32% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

7 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 10% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.