Wednesday, 25 June 2025

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (15, 23, 40) with the draw of 21 May 2025 — its closest relative in 78 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 81% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 June 2025): 15, 16 carried over. Chance says 58% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 117 — the 20th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 144. Side-by-side numbers: 15–16. 51% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

40 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 25% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.