Friday, 2 May 2025

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (5, 30) with the draw of 25 March 2025 — its closest relative in 62 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 April 2025): 5 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 143 — the 68th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 30–31. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

31 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.