Daily Million Plus 2pm · every number · star deck

Star 2

In Daily Million Plus 2pm under the 6/39 + 1/38 · Apr 2016 – Jul 2016 rules — 86 draws, 1 from 1–38 (an earlier era).

2times drawn · chance expected 2 −0.18σ

25draws waiting · a wait this long: 53% for any number

36.0average wait between appearances · chance says 38.0

36longest completed wait · 39% chance of one at least that long

2 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 2 times in 86 draws against 2.3 expected, −0.18σ. Each draw is independent: after 25 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 2, draw by draw

Drawn 2 times in 86 draws · average wait 36.0 draws · longest completed wait 36 · waiting 25 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Too few completed waits to plot a distribution for this number alone.

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 2 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest2 · chance 2.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

No shared draws yet.

Never drawn alongside 37 of the other 37 numbers; chance expects about 37 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 2 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 38. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 2 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2016-06-24	36	1st	2
2016-05-19	—	1st	2

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 2 is drawn with probability 1/38 tonight whatever it did last week.