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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
UK Lotto · draw · round 1
round 1UK Lotto
Jackpot£5,181,752
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 2015draw 19 of 1,203 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 11 Nov 2026, 21:41 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 November 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 19 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 2% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 2 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 18 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 6 numbers (18, 25) with the draw of 31 October 2026 — its closest relative in 18 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 87% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (7 November 2026): 4 carried over. Chance says 49% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 94 — the 1th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 180. Side-by-side numbers: 4–5. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →29 had not appeared for 6 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 2.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 47% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈7.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 5,977 winners, 75% more than the 3.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 6 | 2 | £2,590,876 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 9 | £1,000,000 |
| Match 5 | 149 | £1,000 |
| Match 4 | 5,977 | £50.00 |
| Match 3 | 96,491 | £10.00 |
| Match 2 | 670,224 | £1.00 |