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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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UK Lotto · draw

Saturday, 16 November 2024

ResultUK Lotto

Single source
  1. 12
  2. 16
  3. 31
  4. 38
  5. 58
  6. 59
  7. 41

Jackpot£4,026,427

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 2015draw 951 of 1,189 under them

← 2024-11-13All recent draws2024-11-20 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed12 16 31 38 58 59 + 4129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 November 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

54oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 54% of every possible ticket.

  • sum80th
  • odd20th
  • low20th
  • widest gap62th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread63th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 97 of each

1292times
1694times
3199times
3897times
58

Prize breakdown · 2024-11-16

  • Lines in play≈ 9.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£4.7Mto 965k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.22

Where the money went

  • Match 48.9%£419.2K
  • Match 352%£2.4M
  • Match 237%£1.8M
  • 1 other tier2.0%£92.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.22 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

112times
5999times

Every number was expected about that many times after 950 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (12, 16, 58) with the draw of 31 July 2024 — its closest relative in 950 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 November 2024): 12 carried over. Chance says 49% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

214

The numbers add up to 214 — the 79th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 180. Side-by-side numbers: 58–59. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

31 had not appeared for 33 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 78% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£4,026,427
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 1.3 by chanceno winners
  • Match 553≈ 68 by chance£1,750
  • Match 42,994≈ 4.5k by chance£140
  • Match 381,073≈ 102k by chance£30.00
  • Match 2880,829≈ 953k by chance£2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 2,994 winners, 33% fewer than the 4.5k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 2880,829£2.00
    Match 381,073£30.00
    Match 42,994£140
    Match 553£1,750
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£0.00
    Match 60£4,026,427