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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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UK Lotto · draw

Saturday, 19 October 2024

ResultUK Lotto

Single source
  1. 22
  2. 43
  3. 44
  4. 47
  5. 48
  6. 54
  7. 25

Jackpot£3,997,249

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 2015draw 943 of 1,189 under them

← 2024-10-16All recent draws2024-10-23 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed22 43 44 47 48 54 + 2529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 19 October 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

26oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 26 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 5% of every possible ticket.

  • sum98th
  • odd20th
  • low5th
  • widest gap67th
  • neighbours96th
  • spread13th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 96 of each

2295times
4385times
4488times
4795times
48

Prize breakdown · 2024-10-19

  • Lines in play≈ 9.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£4.7Mto 940k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.21

Where the money went

  • Match 410%£472.4K
  • Match 352%£2.4M
  • Match 237%£1.7M
  • 1 other tier1.5%£68.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.21 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

86times
54101times

Every number was expected about that many times after 942 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (22, 44, 48) with the draw of 13 January 2024 — its closest relative in 942 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 October 2024): 48 carried over. Chance says 49% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

258

The numbers add up to 258 — the 97th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 180. Side-by-side numbers: 43–44, 47–48. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

22 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 89% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£3,997,249
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 1.3 by chanceno winners
  • Match 539≈ 66 by chance£1,750
  • Match 43,374≈ 4.4k by chance£140
  • Match 381,142≈ 99k by chance£30.00
  • Match 2855,596≈ 925k by chance£2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 3,374 winners, 23% fewer than the 4.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 2855,596£2.00
    Match 381,142£30.00
    Match 43,374£140
    Match 539£1,750
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£0.00
    Match 60£3,997,249