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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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UK Lotto · draw

Saturday, 12 October 2024

ResultUK Lotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 11
  3. 13
  4. 17
  5. 39
  6. 41
  7. 37

Jackpot£7,422,407

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 2015draw 941 of 1,189 under them

← 2024-10-09All recent draws2024-10-16 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 11 13 17 39 41 + 3729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 October 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

41oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 41 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 24% of every possible ticket.

  • sum8th
  • odd94th
  • low77th
  • widest gap72th
  • neighbours29th
  • spread31th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 96 of each

287times
11103times
13101times
1791times
39

Prize breakdown · 2024-10-12

  • Lines in play≈ 13Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£17.2Mto 1.4M winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 0.30

Where the money went

  • Match 643%£7.4M
  • Match 324%£4.2M
  • Match 214%£2.4M
  • 3 other tiers18%£3.2M
Tier1101001k10k100k1M10MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 0.30 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

111times
41100times

Every number was expected about that many times after 940 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (11, 13, 39) with the draw of 22 February 2023 — its closest relative in 940 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 October 2024): 41 carried over. Chance says 49% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

123

The numbers add up to 123 — the 8th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 180. No two numbers side by side. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

11 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 75% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£7,422,407
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball2≈ 1.8 by chance£1,000,000
  • Match 5129≈ 93 by chance£1,750
  • Match 46,614≈ 6.1k by chance£140
  • Match 3139,443≈ 139k by chance£30.00
  • Match 21,205,591≈ 1.3M by chance£2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈13M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 6,614 winners, 8% more than the 6.1k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 21,205,591£2.00
    Match 3139,443£30.00
    Match 46,614£140
    Match 5129£1,750
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball2£1,000,000
    Match 61£7,422,407