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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

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UK Lotto · draw

Saturday, 5 October 2024

ResultUK Lotto

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 12
  3. 13
  4. 20
  5. 44
  6. 49
  7. 19

Jackpot£4,021,501

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 2015draw 939 of 1,189 under them

← 2024-10-02All recent draws2024-10-09 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 12 13 20 44 49 + 1929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 October 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

49oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 49 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 40% of every possible ticket.

  • sum20th
  • odd20th
  • low77th
  • widest gap80th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread38th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 95 of each

8105times
1289times
13100times
20104times
44

Prize breakdown · 2024-10-05

  • Lines in play≈ 13Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£8.5Mto 1.3M winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.29

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball12%£1M
  • Match 349%£4.2M
  • Match 228%£2.4M
  • 2 other tiers12%£1M
Tier1101001k10k100k1M10MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.29 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

87times
4998times

Every number was expected about that many times after 938 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (8, 20, 44) with the draw of 27 September 2023 — its closest relative in 938 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 October 2024): 20 carried over. Chance says 49% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

146

The numbers add up to 146 — the 20th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 180. Side-by-side numbers: 12–13. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

8 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 71% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£4,021,501
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1≈ 1.7 by chance£1,000,000
  • Match 581≈ 91 by chance£1,750
  • Match 46,210≈ 6.0k by chance£140
  • Match 3138,341≈ 137k by chance£30.00
  • Match 21,183,165≈ 1.3M by chance£2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈13M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 1,183,165 winners, 8% fewer than the 1.3M an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 21,183,165£2.00
    Match 3138,341£30.00
    Match 46,210£140
    Match 581£1,750
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1£1,000,000
    Match 60£4,021,501