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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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UK Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 11 September 2024

ResultUK Lotto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 10
  3. 23
  4. 41
  5. 53
  6. 57
  7. 28

Jackpot£2,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 2015draw 932 of 1,189 under them

← 2024-09-07All recent draws2024-09-14 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 10 23 41 53 57 + 2829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 September 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

61oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 73% of every possible ticket.

  • sum57th
  • odd94th
  • low48th
  • widest gap49th
  • neighbours29th
  • spread91th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 95 of each

398times
1095times
2392times
4198times
53

Prize breakdown · 2024-09-11

  • Lines in play≈ 6.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£4.3Mto 647k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.14

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball23%£1M
  • Match 341%£1.7M
  • Match 227%£1.2M
  • 2 other tiers8.7%£372.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.14 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

92times
5791times

Every number was expected about that many times after 931 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (3, 10, 23, 41) with the draw of 8 June 2024 — its closest relative in 931 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 35% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 September 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 49% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

187

The numbers add up to 187 — the 56th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 180. No two numbers side by side. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

23 had not appeared for 6 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 73% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£2,000,000
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1≈ 0.87 by chance£1,000,000
  • Match 535≈ 45 by chance£1,750
  • Match 42,221≈ 3.0k by chance£140
  • Match 358,098≈ 68k by chance£30.00
  • Match 2586,885≈ 635k by chance£2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 2,221 winners, 26% fewer than the 3.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 2586,885£2.00
    Match 358,098£30.00
    Match 42,221£140
    Match 535£1,750
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1£1,000,000
    Match 60£2,000,000