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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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UK Lotto · draw

Saturday, 10 August 2024

ResultUK Lotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 25
  3. 40
  4. 42
  5. 48
  6. 59
  7. 12

Jackpot£4,002,090

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 2015draw 923 of 1,189 under them

← 2024-08-07All recent draws2024-08-14 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 25 40 42 48 59 + 1229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 August 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

38oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 38 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 18% of every possible ticket.

  • sum81th
  • odd20th
  • low20th
  • widest gap76th
  • neighbours29th
  • spread98th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 94 of each

285times
2589times
4089times
42105times
48

Prize breakdown · 2024-08-10

  • Lines in play≈ 9.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£4.9Mto 984k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.22

Where the money went

  • Match 410%£485.7K
  • Match 352%£2.6M
  • Match 236%£1.8M
  • 1 other tier1.6%£77K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.22 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

81times
5996times

Every number was expected about that many times after 922 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 40, 48, 59) with the draw of 2 March 2024 — its closest relative in 922 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 35% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 August 2024): 42 carried over. Chance says 49% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

216

The numbers add up to 216 — the 81th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 180. No two numbers side by side. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

59 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 83% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£4,002,090
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 1.3 by chanceno winners
  • Match 544≈ 69 by chance£1,750
  • Match 43,469≈ 4.6k by chance£140
  • Match 386,118≈ 103k by chance£30.00
  • Match 2894,339≈ 967k by chance£2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 3,469 winners, 24% fewer than the 4.6k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 2894,339£2.00
    Match 386,118£30.00
    Match 43,469£140
    Match 544£1,750
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£0.00
    Match 60£4,002,090