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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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UK Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 3 July 2024

ResultUK Lotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 8
  3. 42
  4. 46
  5. 50
  6. 58
  7. 51

Jackpot£2,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 2015draw 912 of 1,189 under them

← 2024-06-29All recent draws2024-07-06 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 8 42 46 50 58 + 5129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 July 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

28oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 28 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 7% of every possible ticket.

  • sum73th
  • odd5th
  • low20th
  • widest gap98th
  • neighbours29th
  • spread98th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 93 of each

186times
8103times
42103times
4698times
50

Prize breakdown · 2024-07-03

  • Lines in play≈ 6.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£4Mto 614k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.14

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball25%£1M
  • Match 339%£1.5M
  • Match 228%£1.1M
  • 2 other tiers8.1%£324.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.14 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

92times
58109times

Every number was expected about that many times after 911 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (8, 42, 50, 58) with the draw of 27 January 2016 — its closest relative in 911 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 35% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 June 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 49% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

205

The numbers add up to 205 — the 73th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 180. No two numbers side by side. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

46 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 80% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£2,000,000
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1≈ 0.83 by chance£1,000,000
  • Match 526≈ 43 by chance£1,750
  • Match 41,995≈ 2.9k by chance£140
  • Match 351,479≈ 65k by chance£30.00
  • Match 2560,135≈ 606k by chance£2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 1,995 winners, 30% fewer than the 2.9k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 2560,135£2.00
    Match 351,479£30.00
    Match 41,995£140
    Match 526£1,750
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1£1,000,000
    Match 60£2,000,000