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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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UK Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 1 May 2024

ResultUK Lotto

Single source
  1. 13
  2. 16
  3. 21
  4. 22
  5. 44
  6. 53
  7. 36

Jackpot£8,528,659

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 2015draw 894 of 1,189 under them

← 2024-04-27All recent draws2024-05-04 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed13 16 21 22 44 53 + 3629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 May 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

66oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 66 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 83% of every possible ticket.

  • sum39th
  • odd48th
  • low77th
  • widest gap72th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread35th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 91 of each

1391times
1687times
2179times
2289times
44

Prize breakdown · 2024-05-01

  • Lines in play≈ 8.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£4.3Mto 810k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.18

Where the money went

  • Match 410%£422.8K
  • Match 354%£2.3M
  • Match 234%£1.5M
  • 1 other tier1.8%£75.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.18 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

84times
5387times

Every number was expected about that many times after 893 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (13, 21, 53) with the draw of 26 October 2022 — its closest relative in 893 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 April 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 49% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

169

The numbers add up to 169 — the 39th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 180. Side-by-side numbers: 21–22. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

13 had not appeared for 71 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 78% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£8,528,659
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 1.1 by chanceno winners
  • Match 543≈ 56 by chance£1,750
  • Match 43,020≈ 3.7k by chance£140
  • Match 378,023≈ 84k by chance£30.00
  • Match 2728,419≈ 788k by chance£2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 3,020 winners, 19% fewer than the 3.7k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 2728,419£2.00
    Match 378,023£30.00
    Match 43,020£140
    Match 543£1,750
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£0.00
    Match 60£8,528,659