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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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UK Lotto · draw

Saturday, 28 October 2023

ResultUK Lotto

Single source
  1. 25
  2. 28
  3. 37
  4. 38
  5. 42
  6. 50
  7. 6

Jackpot£10,807,968

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 2015draw 841 of 1,189 under them

← 2023-10-25All recent draws2023-11-01 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed25 28 37 38 42 50 + 629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 October 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

30oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 30 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 8% of every possible ticket.

  • sum84th
  • odd20th
  • low20th
  • widest gap4th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread4th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 85 of each

2577times
2880times
37103times
3886times
42

Prize breakdown · 2023-10-28

  • Lines in play≈ 12Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£11Mto 1.2M winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.26

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball18%£2M
  • Match 356%£6.2M
  • Match 219%£2.1M
  • 2 other tiers6.1%£674.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1M10MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.26 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

96times
5083times

Every number was expected about that many times after 840 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (28, 38, 50) with the draw of 5 August 2023 — its closest relative in 840 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (25 October 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 49% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

220

The numbers add up to 220 — the 83th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 180. Side-by-side numbers: 37–38. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

50 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 84% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£10,807,968
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball2≈ 1.6 by chance£1,000,000
  • Match 564≈ 82 by chance£1,750
  • Match 44,020≈ 5.4k by chance£140
  • Match 3103,383≈ 123k by chance£60.00
  • Match 21,067,122≈ 1.2M by chance£2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈12M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 4,020 winners, 26% fewer than the 5.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 21,067,122£2.00
    Match 3103,383£60.00
    Match 44,020£140
    Match 564£1,750
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball2£1,000,000
    Match 60£10,807,968