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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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UK Lotto · draw

Saturday, 21 October 2023

ResultUK Lotto

Single source
  1. 14
  2. 15
  3. 26
  4. 37
  5. 43
  6. 54
  7. 6

Jackpot£7,111,041

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 2015draw 839 of 1,189 under them

← 2023-10-18All recent draws2023-10-25 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed14 15 26 37 43 54 + 629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 October 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

69oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 69 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 88% of every possible ticket.

  • sum59th
  • odd48th
  • low48th
  • widest gap9th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread35th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 85 of each

1486times
1580times
2679times
37102times
43

Prize breakdown · 2023-10-21

  • Lines in play≈ 10Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£6.2Mto 1.0M winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.23

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball16%£1M
  • Match 344%£2.8M
  • Match 230%£1.9M
  • 2 other tiers10%£608.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.23 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

73times
5492times

Every number was expected about that many times after 838 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (15, 26, 37) with the draw of 29 October 2022 — its closest relative in 838 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (18 October 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 49% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

189

The numbers add up to 189 — the 58th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 180. Side-by-side numbers: 14–15. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

26 had not appeared for 51 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 79% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£7,111,041
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1≈ 1.4 by chance£1,000,000
  • Match 550≈ 72 by chance£1,750
  • Match 43,721≈ 4.8k by chance£140
  • Match 391,907≈ 108k by chance£30.00
  • Match 2938,147≈ 1.0M by chance£2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈10M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 3,721 winners, 22% fewer than the 4.8k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 2938,147£2.00
    Match 391,907£30.00
    Match 43,721£140
    Match 550£1,750
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1£1,000,000
    Match 60£7,111,041