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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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UK Lotto · draw

Saturday, 22 July 2023

ResultUK Lotto

Single source
  1. 11
  2. 14
  3. 20
  4. 35
  5. 41
  6. 46
  7. 2

Jackpot£11,671,861

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 2015draw 813 of 1,191 under them

← 2023-07-19All recent draws2023-07-26 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed11 14 20 35 41 46 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 July 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

70oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 70 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 91% of every possible ticket.

  • sum38th
  • odd48th
  • low48th
  • widest gap29th
  • neighbours29th
  • spread20th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 83 of each

1185times
1483times
2086times
3580times
41

Prize breakdown · 2023-07-22

  • Lines in play≈ 14Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£20.8Mto 144k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 98lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 0.31

Where the money went

  • Match 656%£11.7M
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball19%£4M
  • Match 320%£4.1M
  • 2 other tiers4.8%£993.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 0.31 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

86times
4688times

Every number was expected about that many times after 812 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (20, 35, 46) with the draw of 22 January 2022 — its closest relative in 812 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 July 2023): 41 carried over. Chance says 49% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

167

The numbers add up to 167 — the 37th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 180. No two numbers side by side. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

14 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 77% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£11,671,861
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball4≈ 1.9 by chance£1,000,000
  • Match 591≈ 97 by chance£1,750
  • Match 45,957≈ 6.4k by chance£140
  • Match 3137,563≈ 146k by chance£30.00
  • Match 20≈ 1.4M by chance£2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈14M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 0 winners, 100% fewer than the 1.4M an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 20£2.00
    Match 3137,563£30.00
    Match 45,957£140
    Match 591£1,750
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball4£1,000,000
    Match 61£11,671,861